Estimated 175 victims, 67 kidnap incidents recorded in Ogbomosoland between 2021, 2026 – Report
pannigeriannews
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A security impact assessment has estimated that between 100 and 175 people were affected by terrorism and kidnapping across Ogbomosoland between 2021 and 2026, with between 40 and 67 kidnap incidents and 10 to 24 fatalities recorded during the period.
The figures are contained in an infographic titled “Terrorism/Kidnapping Impact Across Ogbomosoland (2021–2026 Estimated),” prepared by security analyst Femi Ayoola, who noted that the estimates were derived from media reports, police disclosures and documented security incidents.
According to the report, Oriire Local Government Area recorded the highest estimated number of victims, ranging from 45 to 70, with between 18 and 25 kidnap incidents and five to 10 fatalities.
The report classified the council as having a “very high” security risk, particularly between 2024 and 2026.
Surulere Local Government Area ranked second with an estimated 30 to 50 victims, 12 to 20 kidnap incidents and three to seven fatalities.
It was rated as a high-risk area, with peak incidents reported between 2022 and 2025.
Ogo-Oluwa Local Government Area was placed in the moderate-risk category, recording an estimated 12 to 25 victims, five to 10 kidnap incidents and one to three fatalities.
The report estimated that Ogbomoso South Local Government Area recorded between eight and 18 victims, three to seven kidnap incidents and one to two fatalities, earning a low-to-moderate risk classification.
Ogbomoso North Local Government Area has the lowest estimated figures, with between five and 12 victims, two to five kidnap incidents and zero to two fatalities.
It was classified as relatively low risk.
The assessment attributed the security challenges in the affected councils to factors including forest hideouts, porous borders, expressway corridors, isolated rural settlements, occasional urban crimes and weak rural security coverage.
The report stressed that the figures are estimates compiled from publicly available sources and should not be regarded as official government statistics, noting that many incidents may have gone unreported or were resolved privately.
It also called for improved intelligence gathering, stronger community policing, enhanced surveillance of vulnerable areas and closer collaboration among security agencies and local communities to address the security challenges across Ogbomosoland.
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